SavannahRed 
Member since Jun 24, 2009

Recent Comments

Re: “Walking the Fifth Ward with Solidarity in Savannah

As Chief Lumpkin and the SCMPD cast about for answers to the alarming 2015 murder rate, they have identified domestic violence (along with guns) as the main generator of the swollen 2015 numbers. Chief Lumpkin explained:

"The majority of homicides, which include domestic situations, fights and a multitude of other scenarios, involve firearms and are the types of crimes that the End Gun Violence: Step Forward initiative is looking to stop. But, in cases of domestic violence, the Chief says the community and police need to take a closer look to better identify opportunities to prevent it from happening. "We have got to do something different as a community and police with domestic violence, in order to reduce that number. It's typically four or five per-year, as opposed to 13 or 14, and we have not ended this year."

While I feel sure this was certainly true, were there any other factors that may have influenced the explosion of homicides in Savannah? So I looked at the SCMPD weekly crime data reports for 2015.

Maybe some pattern will jump out from the numbers that would help me understand the state of Savannah and what in the world happened to bloat the city's murder numbers to a level not seen since the Jivens Gang. Maybe it really was just an uptick in domestic violence with the easy availability of guns that led to the increased 2015 murder rate.

Nah.

The numbers show something different:

--There were 6 murders in Savannah from January 1, 2015 to April 11, 2015. This number was actually down 3 from 2014 and down 2 from 2013. That's super good policing, right? Extrapolating that number out from the first 15 weeks of 2015, SCMPD could reasonably predict about 21 murders for the year--a substantial decrease from 2014 and 2013. Kudos for everyone!

--Looking at the data historically, we know that 23 more murders were committed in 2014 and 22 more murders were committed in 2013 from mid-April on. So by mid-April, about 25% of the year's total murders were committed in 2013 and 2014 (28% in 2014). By mid-April 2015, the murder total was only 12.5% of the year's total. Something happened in mid April 2015 that pulled the murder numbers higher from 2014 and 2013.

--According to the weekly reports, the time period between February 22, 2015-April 11, 2015 was the safest portion of the year. Not one murder was committed. Zero. Go back a tad further and only 1 murder was committed from February 8, 2015-April 11, 2015. Unprecedented peace in Savannah! Then all hell breaks loose.

--By April 18, 2015 Savannah's peace was shattered by a triple homicide. For the next 37 weeks, the murder rate climbs, finally surpassing the 2014 and 2013 murder rates for good by May 9, 2015. (That's the date Savannah sees its 12th murder of the year with both 2014 and 2013 having 11 murders. This lead stays and grows for the rest of 2015).

--October 2015 carded 10 murders making it the bloodiest month of the year. Between September 27, 2015 and November 28, 2015, 16 murders were committed--almost 30% of the year's total.

--Not only did the murder numbers soar in 2015, but the violent crimes rate (rapes, robberies, assaults) increased too. By the end of 2015, the violent crime rate was a full 25% higher than 2014 and 36% higher than 2013.

What happened?

Let's see. Easily availability of guns? Yep. Gang activity? Yep. People using guns to solve their domestic issues? Yep. But heck, that's every day in Savannah. Why the sudden, dramatic increase in murderous, violent behavior?

The Baltimore Black Lives Matter rioting began on April 18, 2015 and lasted until May 3, 2015. A good portion of Savannah's black governmental and educational infrastructure seem to subscribe to the Black Lives Matter cause as an article of faith. Most every black candidate in this year's election cycle paid lip service to the Black Lives Matter credo. Look at the restorative justice programs the school system has signed up for and its apparent that many, many more violent infractions in schools are being ignored--because Black Lives Matter.

I suppose with the SCMPD always riding with about 75-80 vacancies and with the possibility of a Black Lives Matters flare up with every arrest or domestic quarrel, not to mention being hauled into court or arrested as strong possibilities every time a cop goes off to work, who would want to enforce anything?

But probably just a correlation. Certainly not causation.

Posted by SavannahRed on 01/29/2016 at 8:42 PM

Re: “Schoolin’ the old school?

Let's see charter schools, IE2 schools, or Status Quo. If you were a betting woman, what do you think?

Posted by SavannahRed on 01/22/2015 at 6:47 PM

Re: “Schoolin’ the old school?

Hi Jessica--Speaking of schooling the old school, you might want to become conversant on the choices the public school system must make by June 2015. Charter schools system? Status quo? Any change in Savannah must include what's happening with its public schools.

http://internet.savannah.chatham.k12.ga.us…

1 like, 0 dislikes
Posted by SavannahRed on 01/22/2015 at 8:06 AM

Re: “Editor's Note: Blueprint for better Savannah begins now

Hey Jim--I think you might be in an echo chamber over there. What you are saying that needs to be understood about crime and justice in Savannah is more about cultural differences, I think, than the differing political philosophies of liberals and conservatives. As far as the echo chamber goes, I notice that over 90% of the folks listed on the masthead are white, so maybe its just easier to couch this discussion as a typical liberal/conservative fillip than to delve any deeper.

Posted by SavannahRed on 01/14/2015 at 7:27 PM

Re: “Word from a mother

A small response: http://savannahred.blogspot.com/2012/05/another-word-from-mothers.html

Posted by Charles Wooten on 05/12/2012 at 6:59 PM

Re: “Government vs. the people

There isn't much that we agree on politically, so it was interesting to read your take on the local political scene (which I happen to agree with and have posted on). I'm curious though as to why you don't make a connection between what is happening in our county to what is happening nationally. Its the same modus operandi.

Posted by Charles Wooten on 06/24/2009 at 6:35 PM

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